NBA Betting

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (58-26) at MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (56-28) Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Memphis -4.5 & 179.5
2013-04-27

The Grizzlies were blown out of Game 1 by a 112-91 score, but played much better defense in Monday's Game 2, and nearly pulled out the victory, losing 93-91 after Chris Paul made a last-second floater. That gives L.A. nine straight victories (5-3-1 ATS) during a streak that has seen the team score 104.8 PPG on 50percent FG and 36percent threes. Memphis is happy to return home, where it is 32-9 SU and 23-16-2 ATS (59percent) this season, including 14-1 SU (8-7 ATS) in the past 15 games. But that one SU defeat came to the Clippers, 91-87 on April 13. Los Angeles is a solid 24-17 SU on the road this season, but just 20-21 ATS. The Clippers are 13-7 SU (11-8-1 ATS) in the past three years versus Memphis, which includes a 5-1 SU mark (4-2 ATS) this season. Los Angeles is also much better with two days' rest, going 14-3 SU (12-4-1 ATS) in this scenario, compared to the Grizzlies' 10-2 SU record, but subpar 5-6-1 ATS mark after a couple days off.

The Clippers have had a tremendous series offensively with 102.5 PPG on 51.3percent FG, but they shot terribly from three-point range in Monday's Game 2, making just 2-of-15 threes. But it has been the defense that has been the difference in this series, limiting Memphis to 91 points in both games and holding a decisive 87-61 rebounding edge in the two games. The Clippers produced a league-leading 9.6 steals per game during the regular season, but have less than half of that (4.5 SPG) so far in the series. PG Chris Paul has been the star of the series with 23.5 PPG (57percent FG), 8.0 APG, 3.0 RPG and 1.5 SPG. He's committed just two turnovers in his 69 minutes of action. Four other Los Angeles players have also averaged double-figures so far this series. PF Blake Griffin has 15.5 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 3.5 APG and 1.5 BPG, while SG Jamal Crawford has knocked down 14.0 PPG on 11-of-22 shooting. Two other Clippers players have been even hotter from the floor, as PG Eric Bledsoe has 11.5 PPG on 10-of-13 FG (77percent), while SF Caron Butler has 11.0 PPG on 10-of-15 shooting (67percent). C DeAndre Jordan has scored a total of only seven points (3-of-6 FG), but has 16 rebounds in the series, and posted four blocks in Game 2. The one player that had a poor performance Monday was SG Chauncey Billups, who scored just five points on 2-of-8 FG with a team-worst minus-11 rating. In Game 1, Billups tallied 14 points and a +14 rating. Although the L.A. starters combined for a minus-33 rating on Monday, the six bench players posted a stellar +43 combined rating.

Despite the pedestrian point totals, the Grizzlies have actually shot pretty well in this series, making 46percent FG despite a poor 7-of-23 three-point clip. Their defense has been outstanding at FedEx Forum this season, holding visitors to a mere 87.0 PPG on 42.7percent FG and 31.8percent threes. And despite getting outrebounded, points in the paint are nearly even in this series at 96-94 favoring the Clippers. If the Grizzlies are going to get back in this series, PF Zach Randolph has to stay out of foul trouble, picking up five personals in each of the first two games. That has limited him to 13.0 PPG and 6.0 RPG in the postseason, numbers well below what he did against L.A. in the regular season (14.8 PPG, 12.0 RPG). PG Mike Conley has admittedly struggled to keep Chris Paul in check, but he was still able to score a playoff-career-high 28 points in Game 2, and is averaging 20.0 PPG, 7.0 APG and 2.0 SPG for the series. C Marc Gasol has also had a strong offensive series with 16.5 PPG, but has just nine rebounds in the two games combined. SG Tony Allen was a monster on the glass Monday with a game-high 10 boards to go along with 16 points on 6-of-9 shooting. Starting SF Tayshaun Prince has been dreadful this postseason, scoring just eight points on 3-of-15 shooting. PF Darrell Arthur had some key buckets during his team's fourth-quarter comeback on Monday, finishing with nine points (4-of-5 FG), but had the worst rating on the team (minus-11).




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NBA: Orlando at Charlotte 8:00E TNT
2010-04-26

Orlando and Charlotte play Game 4 of their first round NBA Eastern Conference Playoff series and the Magic have the chance to become the first team to move on to the second round with a sweep. The Bobcats would like to at least experience the success of a playoff win in this, their first postseason ever, and play as a 4-point home dog according to Sportsbook.com.

Without reading the entire boxscore, finding out Vince Carter, Dwight Howard and Rashard Lewis would score 37 points on 12 for 29 shooting in Charlotte; it would be assumed Orlando would have fallen in Game 3.

But as J.R.R. Tolkien once said “Even the smallest person can change the course of the future.” This is precisely what 6’0 Jameer Nelson has done; scoring 32 points in 90-86 win in Game 3 to lead the Magic to victory.

Nelson is averaging 25.7 points per game and has a turnover about every 36 minutes of play in this series. “I’m not out there trying to shoot every shot,” Nelson said. “It just happens that sometimes you have to, especially if you have it going.”

Orlando now has a commanding 3-0 lead and is 12-0 ATS after a win by six points or less this season. Because the Bobcats don’t have the offensive firepower to match the Magic, it’s more a matter of who wants to win this game than overall ability.

Charlotte is 18-5 ATS having lost four of their last five games and veteran coach and vagabond Larry Brown knows what he has seen in the series. “It hasn’t been the defense that has let us down,” Brown said. “Defensive rebounds have been a problem. Turnovers have been a problem. And I think more than anything is poor execution on offense.”

Orlando is a four-point pick and is 25-14 ATS as a road favorite of four points or less and is 21-11 UNDER in this role. The Bobcats will attempt to stave off elimination and are 20-9 ATS after a game as a home underdog, losing by 2.7 points per contest.

The StatFox Outplay Factor Ratings call for Orlando to win by 2.9 points, slightly less than the actual line, indicating at least a point of value on the home underdogs.


NBA: Charlotte at Indiana (7:00 PM ET, FSN)
2010-03-16

The Charlotte Bobcats are brimming with confidence after extending their winning streak on the road against one of the league’s best teams. With more tough opponents on the way, Stephen Jackson insists the Bobcats won’t overlook one of the league’s worst teams, especially after losing the last meeting. Jackson looks to help Charlotte win seven straight games for the first time in franchise history and avenge a loss to the Indiana Pacers on Tuesday night at Conseco Fieldhouse.

Charlotte is a 2-point road favorite at Sportsbook.com.

The Bobcats (34-31, 36-29 ATS) matched the team record for consecutive victories (covering five of six) with an impressive 96-89 win in Orlando on Sunday. Charlotte, which also won six straight Jan. 9-20, was playing without All-Star Gerald Wallace (left ankle), yet still managed to end a seven-game losing streak to the Magic.
The Bobcats are one percentage point ahead of Miami for the sixth seed, and two games up on eighth-place Toronto. Coming into tonight, Charlotte is 17-7 ATS after covering two of their last three against the spread this season.

Jackson is averaging 21.0 points during the six-game streak, and Charlotte is 31-25 with him in the lineup after starting the season 3-7. “If he is not an All-Star in this league, I don’t know who is,” Charlotte’s Theo Ratliff said. “It is time people recognize what he does on the floor.”

Jackson is also trying to keep the Bobcats focused on the Pacers (21-45, 30-35-1 ATS), and not get distracted with a schedule that features a home game against Oklahoma City on Wednesday followed by contests in Atlanta on Friday and Miami on Saturday. He believes it shouldn’t be tough to get motivated to play an Indiana team that has the East’s second-worst record, considering the Pacers defeated Charlotte 101-98 on Dec. 16.

“(Indiana) beat us already at their place, but we have a different mind-set right now,” said Jackson, who played for the Pacers for 2 1/2 seasons. “We want to win and know what’s at stake. We can’t lay an egg and have to come out with a win - that’s everybody’s focus.” The Pacers have taken seven of last 10 meetings in Indianapolis, yet are 1-9 ATS against Charlotte on their home floor.

While the Pacers got the better of the Bobcats three months ago, they haven’t had much luck lately. Indiana lost to Milwaukee 98-94 on Sunday, its sixth defeat in seven games and 13th in 16 (8-7-1 ATS). The Pacers cut a 12-point deficit to two with 30 seconds to play but couldn’t get any closer. The final score was far below the total set of 203 and Indiana is 12-23 ATS after one or more consecutive Under’s this season.

Sportsbook.com has Charlotte as two-point favorites with total of 197.5 and the Bobcats are 11-3 ATS versus defensive teams allowing 103 or more points a game this season. (Pacers surrender 104.7 PPG) Charlotte is 23-13 OVER against teams that score 99 or more points a contest. Indiana will look to make a game of this in spite of recent desultory play and is 34-22 ATS off a road loss over the last two seasons, losing by 1.1 points a game.

This Eastern Conference matchup begins at 7:00 Eastern on Sports South and FSIN, with the Pacers 7-2 OVER as an underdog of 4.5 or less points.

The StatFox Power Line shows Charlotte by 3